Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 9.817313 11.205915 12.727290 14.518909 16.572558 18.854760 21.585842
2026-01-04 8.052203 9.898569 12.079935 14.851402 18.285435 22.409351 27.750869
2026-01-11 7.098658 9.197774 11.814325 15.324004 19.922530 25.762090 33.771944
2026-01-18 6.099263 8.248091 11.046064 14.969155 20.350095 27.504273 37.792667
2026-01-25 5.366883 7.531389 10.458414 14.723707 20.812207 29.238617 41.869970
2026-02-01 4.781506 6.935092 9.947347 14.490912 21.213057 30.858338 45.868170
2026-02-08 4.294407 6.418277 9.481628 14.249968 21.539344 32.350041 49.761784
2026-02-15 3.882778 5.965724 9.056381 14.009241 21.813719 33.748963 53.596633
2026-02-22 3.730718 5.886524 9.173728 14.591501 23.382374 37.231432 60.987764
2026-03-01 3.514285 5.683634 9.076411 14.816293 24.387908 39.891462 67.270581
2026-03-08 3.262064 5.398822 8.820782 14.753566 24.903888 41.779454 72.409069
2026-03-15 3.026220 5.119109 8.546961 14.629788 25.293782 43.469523 77.332730
2026-03-22 2.925947 5.061657 8.641258 15.147133 26.842973 47.295102 86.443124
2026-03-29 2.804296 4.956423 8.644143 15.502186 28.132536 50.770803 95.247874
2026-04-05 2.715154 4.899623 8.723796 15.995902 29.707035 54.880286 105.611736
2026-04-12 2.502254 4.601906 8.350227 15.624973 29.639410 55.943286 110.207247
2026-04-19 2.325988 4.357126 8.052622 15.368401 29.760010 57.358395 115.606766
2026-04-26 2.167499 4.132970 7.775178 15.125060 29.879962 58.770872 121.114076
2026-05-03 2.021780 3.921785 7.505633 14.873208 29.957120 60.095436 126.546588
2026-05-10 1.888445 3.724436 7.247487 14.621590 30.009627 61.365775 131.967408
2026-05-17 1.864411 3.741425 7.408490 15.230206 31.882401 66.522527 146.259338
2026-05-24 1.799770 3.671318 7.390222 15.465181 32.985265 70.150695 157.511075
2026-05-31 1.708152 3.538899 7.235679 15.399612 33.434529 72.410832 165.874924